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Hunter Company Wired Rain-Clik Rain Sensor

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This is like starting 12 weather forecasts and running them for 100 years, except the researchers are not interested in the weather on a given day but rather how the occurrence of local weather extremes varies year-by-year. By starting the model runs in the past it is also possible to verify the output against observations to assess the model performance. individual waves out to sea or at the beach can be higher than this number. If you are close to the This new study has shown that during extreme rainfall events in the UK the intensity of downpours could increase by 5-15% per °C of regional warming. This change is also uneven across the UK, the map below shows the underlying change in the intensity of extreme hourly precipitation for every degree of warming. The greatest change is indicated by the blues in the Northwest of the UK, with the red and orange colours showing less change. Overnight fog slowly clearing Thursday. An area of rain then probably arrives from the south, possibly falling as snow over higher hills. Clearing Friday to bright spells. Cloudier Saturday. Cold.

The arrow shows the average direction of the waves 1-2 miles out to sea. It indicates how sheltered theFeels like temperature considers other factors, such as wind speed and humidity. This gives you a better Another concern is apparent sudden transitions to a much higher frequency of extreme events illustrated by the model output. This would suggest a sudden increase in the numbers of extreme rainfall events, outside of the experience of recent decades. If this scenario did happen it could lead to impacts where infrastructure was unprepared for such a change in our weather.”

Although there is a long term increase in the number of extreme rainfall events in the UK as we go through the century, as shown by the white line in the graph above, in any individual realisation (or ensemble member, as shown by the red line) the number of events per year remains erratic much like the observational record. As our climate warms, it is notable quite how variable the number of events becomes year to year. Beware of offshore winds if you are using inflatables, paddle boards or kayaks. These winds can blow you Heat, cold and flooding are linked to mental health problems for instance (in England, most of the health burden associated with flooding is due to the impacts of flooding on mental health and wellbeing, ranging from stress and anxiety to serious long-term impacts). As the atmosphere warms it can hold more moisture, at a rate of 7% more moisture for every degree of warming. On a simple level, this explains why in many regions of the world projections show an increase in precipitation as a consequence of human induced climate change. At this level of detail, it is possible to more accurately assess how convective downpours that can lead to flash flooding will change, for example when the intensity of the rain exceeds 20mm/hour. Thresholds of rainfall intensity like 20mm/hr are used for aspects of planning such as surface water drainage and flood risk.Chance of precipitation represents how likely it is that rain (or other types of precipitation, such as There is an equally strong evidence base on the risk to health from cold weather, again with older people (people of 65 and over) and those with some long-term medical conditions facing the greatest risk. Fuel poverty exacerbates this situation. This increase was found to differ across the UK. When looking regionally, future changes in extreme rainfall events could be almost 10 times more frequent in Northwest Scotland in 2080 compared to the 1980s, whilst in the south of the UK the value is closer to three times more frequent. We know that climate change is making these problems worse, increasing the number of adverse weather events, with these events becoming more frequent and intense in the years ahead. But as scientists working to protect people’s health, we know that not everyone copes well as the temperature rises, and periods of hot weather are linked to increasing health risks, as well as increased pressure on our health and social care system. The health hazards of heat

beach will be from these waves. If the arrow points towards land, most of the waves’ power will reach Our study highlights the complexity of how natural climate variability and human-induced climate change will come together in the extreme rainfall events we experience over the UK – it is far from a simple picture of more extreme events decade by decade as a steadily increasing trend.” An important role for UKHSA is to monitor the health effects of adverse weather, and our changing climate more generally, and provide advice and guidance on how we can adapt to meet these challenges head on. Northern Ireland and parts of Scotland could reach as low as -3C (26.6F). The south of England and Wales could see about two inches of rain on Thursday and Friday, and the Met Office is warning of possible thunderstorms, flooding and travel delays.A version of the Met Office Unified Model, the same that is used for the operational UK weather forecast, has been run 12 times at a resolution of 2.2km (known as k-scale modelling) to give an ensemble of 100-year climate projections. The arrow shows the direction of the wind (up is north). If the arrow points from land to sea, the wind

At 27ºC or over, people with impaired sweating mechanisms find it especially difficult to keep their bodies cool (for instance the very young, people with long term health conditions or older people, particularly people taking certain medications). Both cold weather and flooding are linked to respiratory disease from mould and damp. What’s the impact of our changing climate? The arrow shows the direction the wind is blowing. The letters show the direction the wind is blowing During periods of hot weather last year – the hottest on record – we saw thousands of heat-related deaths, each one a human tragedy, also leading to significant pressure on our health and care services. The dangers of cold weatherDeputy Chief Meteorologist, Steven Keates, said: “Many parts of the UK will see a very unsettled spell of weather through the second half of the coming week, into next weekend. A number of areas have the potential to see a lot of rain as well as strong winds at times. Of particular concern at the moment is eastern and central Scotland where some exceptional rainfall totals could build up, falling on ground already saturated after recent heavy rainfall. This could lead to some significant and widespread disruption. We also publish a series of ‘action cards’ advising the NHS, social care organisations and professionals about the actions they should take to keep the public healthy and safe under different levels of alert. The effects of climate change on cold-related illness and deaths could have some benefits, but projections suggest that the total number of cold-related deaths each year is unlikely to decline significantly due to issues like poor housing and fuel poverty.

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